Spatial decision making under determinism vs. uncertainty: A comparative multi-level approach to preference mapping

Authors : Aygün ERDOĞAN, Paul D. ZWİCK

Pages : 1245-1273

View : 17 | Download : 4

Publication Date : 2016-08-01

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :The aim of this study is to highlight the importance of uncertainty assessment s in GIS - based multi - attribute land - use decision making. To this end, and b ased on the basic premise that uncertainty makes a difference , it makes use of an existing deterministic goal - driven and hierarchic al GIS - based land - use conflict model known as LUCIS insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(Land - Use C onflict Identification S trategy); , the aim of which is to create a land - use conflict map between agricultural, urban and ecologically sensitive land - use preferences for future planning scenarios . Being confined to its agricul tural preference insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(overall goal); mapping , the newly developed uncertainty models and maps are compared with their corresponding d eterministic models and maps at each level of the LUCIS hierarchy . The comparative models are app lied to the case of Hillsborough County in Florida , which is characterized by a high level of conflict between the three land uses. Different levels of differences in terms of pattern/shape/form and the degree of agricultural land - use suitability are ident ified and assessed at all levels of the hierarchy.
Keywords : Multi attributedecision making MADM MCDM, , Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy LUCIS, , determinism, uncertainty, probability, fuzzy logic