Prediction Forecasting of the Papers used in Turkey

Authors : Erdoğan GAVCAR

Pages : 203-212

View : 11 | Download : 8

Publication Date : 1999-04-01

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :In this study, rexuirement assumption of 8 different sort of paper used in our country is aimed to be done. Factors that can affect paper consumption are considered as variety of wholesale price indexes in paper products and printing industry, import, export, gross national product and population. As it is known, that requirement predictions are carried out by SEKA, too. But, SEKA take into account only population in the prediction. In calculations, multiple regression and correlation methods are used. As a result, it is shown that besides population other factors could affect the prediction and prediction for the paper-cartoon were carried out according to the results of stduy taking into account all factors up to years 2000. There is quite high coorelation between the variables selected in macro-economical level and paper cosumption, that is the proof of correct selection of variables.
Keywords : Turk J Agric For, 23, 1999, , 203 212 Turk J Agric For, vol 23, iss 2