Time Series Forecasting of Honey Production in Turkey

Authors : Burcu ERDAL, Tolga TİPİ

Pages : 417-423

Doi:10.31590/ejosat.1066665

View : 14 | Download : 16

Publication Date : 2022-05-07

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Beekeeping is an essential agricultural activity in socio-economic terms, as it can be done with a small capital, it is an activity where the family workforce can be used well, it can be done without being dependent on the soil, and it is a production branch that increases the income and living standards of the rural population. Considering Turkey’s economic conditions in rural areas as well as its ecological richness, sustainable, organized, and conscious beekeeping is seen as an agricultural activity that must be expanded and developed. In this context, considering the data of the years 1966-2019 covering 54 years of honey production, forecasting the future is quite essential in developing policies in this field. This study aims to forecast honey production in Turkey between the years 2020-2029 using the ARIMA model. In the forecasting of future honey production, 54 years of honey production data covering the years 1966-2019 and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model were used.
Keywords : honey, forecast, turkey